 | Forum
Reply | State of St Marys Stadium
at 19:56 13 Aug 2022
Started watching Saints in 1971 (19 yo.) Watched Paine, Stokes, Channon, Stevie Williams, Alan Ball, Charlie George, Matt Le Tissier, Pelle and Tadic, to name a few. I will not set foot in St Mary’s ever again. I can’t stand the smell of my own piss, let alone someone else’s bodily fluids. Shame on the scummy people in charge of our beloved football team. Martin Semmens hang your head in shame. |
| Forum
Reply | About last night…
at 13:34 3 Mar 2022
Team tactics worked perfectly. Well done Rolf. The plastic cat won it for me. Don’t f**k with cats |
| Forum
Reply | Ward Prowse Boost
at 11:06 20 Aug 2021
Great news, but isn’t this just an 1 year extension on the 5 year contract he signed last year - 17 August 2020. Anyway I hope he stays till he retires. Great player. |
| Forum
Reply | Richard Bland
at 14:32 16 May 2021
25 years, and at the 478th attempt. You’ve got to love persistence. |
| Forum
Reply | Happy 60th Birthday to Nick
at 16:49 25 Apr 2021
You’ll be lucky. I’m 66 and I got my bus pass last Thursday. Happy Birthday Nick 🥳 |
| Forum
Reply | The meltdown thread
at 16:00 7 Feb 2021
Only just managed to watch highlights of this game. With all all the griping on the site about how bad we were, I nearly did not bother. Ok, the were some bad errors made by the defence, but what I saw was a side dejected from the mauling at Manchester. We deserved a draw without doubt, but lost by one goal. Looking for positives, we saw two world class goals and many chances missed. I can understand the passion by fans here, which manifests as anger and condemnation. At this level of the game there always be good and bad times, but after 50+ years of watching Saints the good far out weigh the bad. RIP John Mortimer who I had the pleasure of meeting on numerous occasions. A great and wonderful man. |
| Forum
Thread | Cov-19 predictions
at 19:45 1 Apr 2020
Hi Folks.
Most of my career was analyzing data and spotting trends, mostly the effects over many years, sometimes at micro level.
So, because its in my blood, I decided to analyze the data from Worldometers on the coronavirus.
I believe that isolation is particularly tough on people, exacerbated by open ended possibility of not knowing how long this will go on for.
So I put some thought to this, given my training, and hoping that this will be helpful to everyone, to have some sense of 'how long’ and to be able to plan their lives.
Here is what I think is going to happen in terms of timelines.
Carole
––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
My predictions for the coronavirus - Date 1st April 2020
Assuming their trends and reporting are accurate, this is based on China outcomes.
Assuming global protocols for distancing are in place and normal levels of hospital achievements and no severe shortages of equipment.
Assuming death rates are the same or similar across countries - averaging out at 2-4%, although this may be affected by variability in protocols
It is notable that population density in any country is majorly affecting infection rates, so infection rates by country will differ dramatically.
The first death in any country probably occurs within 2 weeks of the infection of any person. This is demonstrated in the graphs between peak infection rate date and the peak death rate.
Because there is so many assumptions, margins of error may be larger, this is reflected by my estimates
Assuming all of this and that trends hold fast, we can estimate timescales for individual countries.
(Source used: Worldometers info website, comparing against rates across many countries.)
Typically the duration of the of a crisis in any country is 7 weeks, at 9 weeks cases are still being reported, but occurring at much lower and nominal levels.
Typically it takes about 3.5 weeks after the first recorded death of this infection to reach the peak of death rates in any country.
The down side of the daily death rate slope of the graphs (after the peak) it will take another 3 weeks to get close to/achieve nominal levels, this would be confirmed more likely at 5 weeks. Bringing the total duration of crisis for any country to about 8-9 weeks. Protocols of distancing should extended further at least 2 weeks to prevent a second wave.
Taking all this into account
Italy has another 4 weeks before it should achieve low/nominal levels of death rates, they are about a week away from their peak death rate. Their infection rates have started to decline a week ago (25th March).
The UK had their first recorded death on March 14th. The UK has another 10 days before it gets to the peak of death rates, about 10th April, Then another 3 weeks to get close to low/nominal death rates. An additional 2 weeks will confirm the decline of the virus. The 13th-15th May seems a prudent time to lift restrictions on people that are healthy, in the UK. There will still be infection rates, but they will be minimal.
Canada is about 3 days behind the UK in the pandemic timeline.
Germany has a secret, which they are not sharing, they appear to have significantly lower death rates per infection rate of any country in the world, so far.
Keep safe everyone. [Post edited 1 Apr 2020 21:08]
|
| Forum
Reply | Stephens
at 19:14 30 Nov 2019
James ward-prowess.yes..... How stupid do I feel. 😳 |
| Forum
Reply | ward-prowse
at 18:06 30 Nov 2019
Dogshite..... get him off. |
| Forum
Reply | John Cleese
at 19:45 30 May 2019
Moved from Mytchett In 2005 back Inside the M25, but only just - Chertsey. Divorced in 2010 and we both lived happily after. Circumstances kicked in and now in Bracknell. Good friend in Chertsey who professed to be a pal of Mil the yid. Remember him!. |
| Forum
Reply | John Cleese
at 13:52 30 May 2019
Hate London. Worked and lived, and could not wait to get away. Loved Mytchett. Used to live in Haining Gardens. Always a problem, as on the flight path to Farnborough airport. |
| Forum
Reply | Win or lose
at 16:13 8 Apr 2018
Totally agree. Really proud of the team today. At last some real fight. I love the Saints. |
| | hytheboy
|
Site Scores| Forum Votes: | 4 | | Comment Votes: | 0 | | Prediction League: | 0 | | TOTAL: | 4 |
|
By continuing to use the site, you agree to our use of cookies and to abide by our Terms and Conditions.