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Promotion/ Relegation probabilities. 14:59 - Feb 7 with 3492 viewsEsox_Lucius

Just passing this on as a conversation piece. Not a huge surprise for the most part but it makes good reading if you are a QPR fan.
https://www.somersetlive.co.uk/sport/football/football-news/wolverhampton-wander

The grass is always greener.

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Promotion/ Relegation probabilities. on 15:08 - Feb 7 with 3466 viewscolinallcars

55 points ? I say, steady on old bean !
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Promotion/ Relegation probabilities. on 15:53 - Feb 7 with 3376 viewsozranger

More importantly, it is estimating that 47pts or maybe even 46pts would be enough to survive. So, only 11 to go!
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Promotion/ Relegation probabilities. on 17:11 - Feb 7 with 3277 viewsrunningman75

Whoever predicted this was not at Barnsley at Saturday. Was just waiting for Holloway to state the win was like sleeping with an ugly bird.
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Promotion/ Relegation probabilities. on 17:30 - Feb 7 with 3246 viewsPinnerPaul

Promotion/ Relegation probabilities. on 17:11 - Feb 7 by runningman75

Whoever predicted this was not at Barnsley at Saturday. Was just waiting for Holloway to state the win was like sleeping with an ugly bird.


Thing is you don' t get extra points for artistic impression - 3pts is 3pts my friend.
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Promotion/ Relegation probabilities. on 17:35 - Feb 7 with 3236 views2Thomas2Bowles

Promotion/ Relegation probabilities. on 15:53 - Feb 7 by ozranger

More importantly, it is estimating that 47pts or maybe even 46pts would be enough to survive. So, only 11 to go!


I think 47 is about right could even be as low as 43.
[Post edited 7 Feb 2018 17:41]

When willl this CV nightmare end
Poll: What will the result of the GE be

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Promotion/ Relegation probabilities. on 19:10 - Feb 7 with 3125 viewskensalriser

Promotion/ Relegation probabilities. on 17:35 - Feb 7 by 2Thomas2Bowles

I think 47 is about right could even be as low as 43.
[Post edited 7 Feb 2018 17:41]


You think we might get only 7 pts from 16 games?

Poll: QPR to finish 7th or Brentford to drop out of the top 6?

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Promotion/ Relegation probabilities. on 19:26 - Feb 7 with 3090 viewsPlanetHonneywood

53!

'Always In Motion' by John Honney available on amazon.co.uk
Poll: Who should do the Birmingham Frederick?

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Promotion/ Relegation probabilities. on 11:33 - Feb 8 with 2859 viewsMrNITK

“Makes good reading if you’re a QPR fan”
You mean we’re not making top 2 or even getting in the playoffs!!
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Promotion/ Relegation probabilities. on 11:42 - Feb 8 with 2839 viewsStevenageRanger

Promotion/ Relegation probabilities. on 11:33 - Feb 8 by MrNITK

“Makes good reading if you’re a QPR fan”
You mean we’re not making top 2 or even getting in the playoffs!!


That list is just like a bookies list of odds.

See we have a 4% chance of relegation and just checked and we are 25/1 to be relegated (which is 4% probability)
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Promotion/ Relegation probabilities. on 11:49 - Feb 8 with 2829 viewsstevec

Not sure about a super computer, from what I can see nobody moves more than 1 place.

I could have divided by 30 and times by 46 and spun a coin here and there and got the same results.
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Promotion/ Relegation probabilities. on 11:58 - Feb 8 with 2807 viewsWadR

These predictors seldom anticipate the fact every year a few clubs below 18th will go on a really strong run towards the end of the season and that a number of midtable clubs are invariably on the beach by early March.

Means you can't just extrapolate results from previous form and league positions..
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Promotion/ Relegation probabilities. on 14:24 - Feb 8 with 2640 viewsJuzzie

As well as being top of the "relying on home form" league, we're also top (as in lowest probability) of the "xx per cent chance of relegation" table.

Woo-hoo.
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