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QPR v Sheffield United Betting Preview
QPR v Sheffield United Betting Preview
Friday, 1st Apr 2011 23:29 by LFW Pundits

Profits all round in the Doncaster column, now the lads look to hammer home their advantage over the final eight games of the season.

Brian picked up £70.50 last time out and it could have been more had Heidar Helguson’s early header dipped in instead of hitting the bar. He did lose a tenner in the week though when his Aussie World Cup bet went west. He now has a profit of £536.13 for the season. Andy turned a profit too of £38.75, and he also had Helguson to score first so was unlucky not to win more. He has £80.33 for the season. Could we have both pundits finishing in profit for the first time ever on LFW?

Brian Power

A 70.50 return last time out was helped by Brian O’Driscoll having a try ruled out in the Rugby that allowed me to collect when Tommy Bowe went over the line minutes later.

While our rivals play on Saturday we wait until Sky roll into town for the visit of Sheffield United. The Blades are in big trouble and could be seven points from safety if Palace win on Saturday. We have the best home record they have one of the worst so it points to one result. God if things were that easy I would be writing this looking out of the window of my beachside apartment watching the USA women’s volleyball team training. But things are not that easy and as we all know we don’t have the best record on Sky and United have beaten Forest and Leeds recently even if their opponents were not in the best form.

I am going for a win but I think we might have to be patient and the HT Draw FT QPR looks the bet but will I stick my tenner on Heider to score first. Paddy Power are offering odds on a penalty to be missed. They offer 9/1 on either team 12/1 on QPR and 30/1 on Sheffield United. Now with Paddy in goal against his former club and his good record of saving penalties we will have a couple of quid on Sheff Utd to miss a penalty.

My football bet this week is split into three with a £10 treble on Wycombe, Gillingham and Chesterfield and a £2.50 trebles and £2.50 acca on Liverpool, Huddersfield, Watford and Brighton . Finally the loss of Kevin Doyle is a blow to Wolves but I don’t rate Newcastle and the 16/5 on offer is a decent bet. Double it with Spurs (7/5) at Wigan

The Flat season started this week and the William Hill Handicap takes place at Doncaster , Richard Fahy has 6 horses entered. Champion Jockey Paul Hannigan has chosen Irish Heartbeat instead of his initial choice Our Joe Mac after his poor performance at the Curragh last time out. Irish Heartbeat won at the track last year and will give us a good run against John Gosden’s favourite Taqleed. Over the month of April there are lots of Free Meetings and this can only be a positive thing and although I do not agree with all the Racing for Change team have suggested this us one of their better ideas.

Finally the Masters at Augusta gets underway on the seventh and Rory McIlroy is my each way selection at 30/1.

For the weekend:

QPR V Sheffield United

£10 1st scorer Heidar Helguson 9/2

£2.50 Sheff United to miss a penalty 30/1

£2.50 trebles and £2.50 acca

Liverpool 7/5

Huddersfield 6/5

Watford 9/5

Brighton 5/4

£10 treble

Wycombe 1/2

Gillingham 4/6

Chesterfield 4/5

£2.50 double

Wolves 16/5

Spurs 7/5

£5 e/w William Hill Lincoln – Irish Heartbeat 11/1

£2.50 e/w Rory McIlroy Masters ( ¼ odds 5 places)

Previously Advised:

£2 Lucky 15 and £2e/w acca

QPR to win Championship at 12/1

Huddersfield to win league 1 at 8/1

Rotherham to win League 2 at 12/1

York to win conference at 12/1

£10 Australia to win Cricket world cup 6/1

Andy Hillman

Back in the saddle after the international break and I have to admit I’m gagging for the next QPR match - 16 days between games is quite frankly ridiculous. Pretty successful last time out, ending £38.75 up thanks to QPR winning to nil, and one leg of my trixie coming in. Having said that, I was damned unlucky that Forest didn’t get a late equaliser against Swansea - they scored and then hit the post in stoppage time, if they had drawn with Swansea I’d be another £150 richer.

Before we look at this week’s fixtures, spurred on by a thread on the forum, I thought I’d highlight QPR’s promotion odds and where we are odds wise in the closing stages. As is fairly clear to everyone, there is almost no money to be made backing QPR to either win the league or get promoted - we’re 2/13 and 1/20 respectively there, so you’re going to have to risk huge sums for even a modest return. What might be of interest however, is the handicap league. With eight games to play, the handicap league table has Watford on 86 points, Swansea on 82 points, and QPR on 81 points. So the question is, all things being equal, and bearing in mind five of Watford’s eight games are Hull, Norwich, Leeds, us and Leicester, can we make up five points on Watford? And can we make up one point on Swansea, who have Norwich, Burnley and Portsmouth still to play - if you reckon we can, there’s odds of 3/1 to be had on Betfair…

Of course for the Holloway Ranger’s amongst you, if you think that we won’t be promoted, the odds available to lay are 1.08 on Betfair, meaning that for a £100 stake, you could win £1250 if we snatch defeat from the jaws of victory, which might soften the blow (only slightly though…)

Onto this week’s game, and it’s the Monday night game against Sheffield United, who come into this game having won two of their last three, against Leeds and Nott’m Forest, having not won since the December 18 before that (and that was against Swansea, they appear to have helped us out quite a bit this season…) Some of the fans on the Blades forums suggested that we will fear Sheffield United, and we will settle for a point. I don’t think that Warnock is unduly worried to be honest, and I’m confident enough to that we will win. The win to nil that I normally opt for is only available at around 6/5 at the moment, hardly good value, so instead I’m going to split my money between 2 scorecasts - 2-0 available at 6/1 with Betfred and 3-0 available at 21/2 with Unitbet. Befred are also offering full refunds on all losing correct score/goal scorer bets if Helguson scores the last goal in the game - the caveat is that their odds are noticeably weaker than the competition as a result.

Elsewhere, in the absence of any other stand out matches this weekend, I’m going to back Sri Lanka in the Cricket World Cup against India. They’re the underdogs, available at 2.7 on Betfair, but with their batting line up they’ve got a hell of a chance, so I’ll stick a tenner on them for the win.

Finally, I’m going to do another trixie and a multiple this week. All three of Man U, Chelsea and Liverpool have away games, at West Ham, Stoke and West Brom respectively. I’m going to back all three to not win, at £2.50 a leg and £2.50 for all three. Odds of about 4/1 per leg, and 8/1 for all three with Betfair.

My multiple is a five legged affair, and includes an early kick off, breaking rule number 1 - although it is Celtic in the early kick off, which is pretty much a banker. I’ve gone for Celtic, Cardiff, Rangers, Southampton and Arsenal - odds of 5.76 on Betfair.

For the Weekend:

QPR vs. Sheffield United - Correct Score 2-0 £7.50 @ 6/1 (Betfred)

QPR vs. Sheffield United - Correct Score 3-0 £7.50 @ 21/2 (Unitbet)

Sri Lanka vs. India - Sri Lanka to win - £10 @ 2.7 (Betfair)

Trixie - NOT Man U, NOT Chelsea, NOT Liverpool £10 total @ various odds (Betfair)

Fivefold multiple - Celtic, Cardiff, Rangers, Southampton and Arsenal £10 @ 5.76 (Betfair)

Photo: Action Images



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